Voss, Paul, David D. Long, Roger B. Hammer, and Samantha Friedman Working paper no. 2004-05 Abstract We apply methods of exploratory spatial data analysis (ESDA) and spatial regression analysis to examine inter-county variation in child poverty rates in the U.S. Such spatial analyses are important because regression models that exclude explicit specification of spatial effects, …
Palloni, Alberto, and Mary McEniry Working paper no. 2004-09 Abstract Aging in Latin America and the Caribbean will not proceed along known paths already followed by more developed countries. In particular, the health profile of the future elderly population is less predictable due to factors associated with their demographic past that may haunt them for …
Curtis, Katherine Working paper no. 2004-12 Abstract Although the Great Plains region typically connotes population loss, there are periods in its history more accurately associated with growth. And while the Plains might be considered homogeneous, there is reason to suspect variation in patterns of population growth across the vast region. Using census data, I employ …
Merli, M. Giovanna, and Alberto Palloni Working paper no. 2004-13
Merli, M. Giovanna, Sara Hertog, Bo Wang, Jing Li Working paper no. 2004-14 Abstract The Chinese population is believed to be in the early stages of an HIV/AIDS epidemic, and concerns are great that the epidemic may soon spread to the general population via heterosexual transmission. Using a bio-behavioral macrosimulation model driven by realistic input …
MacLean, Alair Working paper no. 2004-15 Abstract In this paper I examine the effects of peacetime Cold War military service on the life course according to five hypotheses that state that the armed forces: 1. disrupted veterans’ lives; 2. provided veterans with an apprenticeship program; 3. enabled veterans to benefit from additional education; 4. reproduced …
Raymo, James, and Hiromi Ono Working paper no. 2004-16 Abstract Unlike their counterparts in most industrialized societies, Japanese women are spending an increasingly longer proportion of their young adult years unmarried and living with parents. In this paper, we develop hypotheses linking the “comforts of home” to later marriage in Japan. To evaluate these hypotheses, …
Raymo, James, and Miho Iwasawa Working paper no. 2004-17 Abstract Results from cross-national research suggest that increasing economic independence for women contributes to lower rates of marriage only in societies characterized by relatively asymmetric gender division of domestic and market labor. We develop and evaluate an alternative theoretical scenario in which the same results could …
Curtis, Katherine, and Jerald R. Herting Working paper no. 2004-18 Abstract Working from the formal model of population growth, Pt = P0ert, we use population change in the U.S. Great Plains between 1900 and 1930 to demonstrate the efficiency of an alternative approach to estimating population change, r: growth curve modeling (GCM). Through this method, the …
Olson, Craig A., and Deena Ackerman Working paper no. 2004-19 Abstract This paper exploits a newly created longitudinal dataset to evaluate the effect of high school resources on the earnings of male wage earners at mid and late career. Using school quality measures like average teacher salary and average years of experience of the teaching …